Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.037999 2.360385 2.714865 3.133241 3.613234 4.146399 4.783273
2025-02-16 1.505746 1.906537 2.385446 2.998730 3.762124 4.679948 5.866141
2025-02-23 1.129347 1.547744 2.085848 2.826217 3.815887 5.090449 6.853680
2025-03-02 0.858184 1.263693 1.821072 2.639115 3.804595 5.400225 7.744707
2025-03-09 0.709233 1.114272 1.705298 2.624347 4.010235 6.013282 9.117166
2025-03-16 0.578305 0.964951 1.561255 2.539310 4.093118 6.452918 10.291145
2025-03-23 0.522822 0.920852 1.565914 2.675523 4.521930 7.451795 12.425350
2025-03-30 0.467502 0.866308 1.543341 2.760847 4.875983 8.371389 14.543924
2025-04-06 0.408522 0.794596 1.479621 2.764529 5.089547 9.081663 16.397762
2025-04-13 0.338765 0.690985 1.343547 2.618936 5.019921 9.298180 17.424857
2025-04-20 0.310125 0.660276 1.334731 2.702452 5.370064 10.283191 19.918261
2025-04-27 0.291556 0.646228 1.354735 2.841888 5.839696 11.533128 23.033398
2025-05-04 0.263694 0.609703 1.327789 2.890333 6.150252 12.542243 25.855461
2025-05-11 0.237060 0.571341 1.291515 2.914737 6.416557 13.499082 28.695524
2025-05-18 0.205339 0.515987 1.210834 2.833144 6.451963 14.000573 30.682435
2025-05-25 0.174229 0.456331 1.111209 2.694348 6.343976 14.191188 32.042165
2025-06-01 0.157690 0.429097 1.081048 2.708264 6.574239 15.119908 35.079187
2025-06-08 0.138158 0.390739 1.018729 2.637301 6.600712 15.607772 37.206055
2025-06-15 0.133152 0.389595 1.046774 2.788950 7.169270 17.367245 42.388690
2025-06-22 0.125506 0.379924 1.051918 2.884078 7.613311 18.890821 47.197071
2025-06-29 0.114529 0.358908 1.024517 2.891661 7.841073 19.932874 50.986348
2025-07-06 0.098295 0.319554 0.942097 2.741727 7.647702 19.942372 52.285268
2025-07-13 0.093109 0.312464 0.947214 2.830277 8.088833 21.558037 57.728090